Q. I use Excel to do traditional linear forecasting, but I would like to upgrade to exponential smoothing for more accurate forecasts. Is there a way to do this in Excel? A. Accurate forecasting is ...
https://doi.org/10.2307/2581393 • https://www.jstor.org/stable/2581393 Copy URL Adaptive exponential smoothing models are designed to improve performance by letting ...
The well-established forecasting methods of exponential smoothing rely on the “optimal” estimation of parameters if they are to perform well. A grid search procedure to minimise the MSE is often used ...
Guo, Xiaojia, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., and Yael Grushka-Cockayne. "Quantile Forecasts of Product Life Cycles Using Exponential Smoothing." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-038, October ...
This section briefly introduces the forecasting methods used by the FORECAST procedure. Refer to textbooks on forecasting and see "Forecasting Methods" later in this chapter for more detailed ...
The ARIMA model equivalency to the additive version of Winters method is the ARIMA(0,1,p+1)(0,1,0) p model The moving-average form of the equation is For the additive version of Winters method (see ...